S&P 500 drops to 6,000

MARKET PRICE

12¢

FAIR VALUE (DE-VIG)

VENUE

Kalshi

SETTLES

1 January 2027

Kalshi prices this contract at 12¢, which is the market's own read on how likely it is to resolve Yes. Stripping the operator's margin out of the book puts the fair value at 1%. Trading closes 1 January 2027, 136 days from now. $124k has traded on it.

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