POLYMARKET
14¢
Iga Swiatek is priced on both venues: 14¢ on Polymarket and 16¢ on Kalshi, 2 points apart. Across the 60 contracts Kanon currently matches on both venues the median difference is 3.5 points. The two are matched outcome by outcome. These are mid prices rather than the price either book would actually fill at, and a difference is only a difference if both venues settle the question the same way. Polymarket prices 40 outcomes on this event. Aryna Sabalenka is the shortest at 26¢, 12 points clear of Iga Swiatek. The prices sum to 102¢, so the book carries about 2.3 points of operator margin; the fair column is those prices with that margin removed. Trading closes 13 September 2026, 27 days from now. $6.7m has traded on it.
| Runner | Market price |
|---|---|
| Aryna Sabalenka | 26¢ |
| Iga Swiatek | 14¢ |
| Elena Rybakina | 10¢ |
| Coco Gauff | 9¢ |
| Naomi Osaka | 7¢ |
| Mirra Andreeva | 6¢ |
| Jessica Pegula | 4¢ |
| Alexandra Eala | 4¢ |
| Linda Noskova | 3¢ |
| Amanda Anisimova | 2¢ |
| Karolina Muchova | 2¢ |
| Elina Svitolina | 2¢ |
Showing the 12 most likely of 40 runners.
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