POLYMARKET
4¢
Chicago is priced on both venues: 4¢ on Polymarket and 6¢ on Kalshi, 2 points apart. Across the 60 contracts Kanon currently matches on both venues the median difference is 3.5 points. The two are matched outcome by outcome. These are mid prices rather than the price either book would actually fill at, and a difference is only a difference if both venues settle the question the same way. Polymarket prices 32 outcomes on this event. Las Vegas Raiders is the shortest at 87¢, 80 points clear of Dallas Cowboys. The prices sum to 108¢, so the book carries about 7.9 points of operator margin; the fair column is those prices with that margin removed. Trading closes 1 September 2026, 15 days from now. $6.3m has traded on it.
| Runner | Market price |
|---|---|
| Las Vegas Raiders | 87¢ |
| Dallas Cowboys | 7¢ |
| Chicago Bears | 4¢ |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 3¢ |
| San Francisco 49ers | 2¢ |
| Kansas City Chiefs | 1¢ |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 0¢ |
| New York Jets | 0¢ |
| Detroit Lions | 0¢ |
| Tennessee Titans | 0¢ |
| Los Angeles Rams | 0¢ |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 0¢ |
Showing the 12 most likely of 32 runners.
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