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between 39.1 and 39.3 according to RealClearPolitics? — 39.1 to 39.3
Kalshi prices 8 outcomes on this event. between 39.1 and 39.3 according to RealClearPolitics? — 39.1 to 39.3 is the shortest at 34¢, 12 points clear of between 38.8 and 39.0 according to RealClearPolitics? — 38.8 to 39.0. The prices sum to 109¢, so the book carries about 9 points of operator margin; the fair column is those prices with that margin removed. Trading closes 21 August 2026, 5 days from now. $4k has traded on it.
| Runner | Market price |
|---|---|
| between 39.1 and 39.3 according to RealClearPolitics? — 39.1 to 39.3 | 34¢ |
| between 38.8 and 39.0 according to RealClearPolitics? — 38.8 to 39.0 | 22¢ |
| below 38.8 according to RealClearPolitics | 20¢ |
| between 39.4 and 39.6 according to RealClearPolitics? — 39.4 to 39.6 | 15¢ |
| between 39.7 and 39.9 according to RealClearPolitics? — 39.7 to 39.9 | 7¢ |
| between 40.0 and 40.2 according to RealClearPolitics? — 40.0 to 40.2 | 4¢ |
| above 40.5 according to RealClearPolitics | 2¢ |
| between 40.3 and 40.5 according to RealClearPolitics? — 40.3 to 40.5 | 2¢ |
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