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Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election
Kalshi prices 12 outcomes on this event. Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is the shortest at 65¢, 33 points clear of Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election. The prices sum to 107¢, so the book carries about 7.1 points of operator margin; the fair column is those prices with that margin removed. Trading closes 25 October 2027, 435 days from now. $632k has traded on it.
| Runner | Market price |
|---|---|
| Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election | 65¢ |
| Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election | 32¢ |
| Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election | 3¢ |
| Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election | 2¢ |
| Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election | 1¢ |
| Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election | 1¢ |
| Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election | 0¢ |
| Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election | 0¢ |
| Tarcisio de Frietas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? — Tarcísio de Freitas | 0¢ |
| Ratinho Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election | 0¢ |
| Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election | 0¢ |
| Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election | 0¢ |
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