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How many House Republicans will lose their primary in 2026?

FAVOURITE
exactly 5 House Republican members lose their primary in 2026
PRICED AT
64¢
RUNNERS
5
VENUE
Kalshi
SETTLES
3 November 2026

Kalshi prices 5 outcomes on this event. exactly 5 House Republican members lose their primary in 2026 is the shortest at 64¢, 26 points clear of exactly 4 House Republican members lose their primary in 2026. The prices sum to 105¢, so the book carries about 5.4 points of operator margin; the fair column is those prices with that margin removed. Trading closes 3 November 2026, 79 days from now. $33k has traded on it.

RunnerMarket price
exactly 5 House Republican members lose their primary in 202664¢
exactly 4 House Republican members lose their primary in 202638¢
exactly 6 House Republican members lose their primary in 2026
more than 6 House Republican members lose their primary in 2026? — 7 or more
exactly 3 House Republican members lose their primary in 2026

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