Vitality is priced on both venues: 28¢ on Polymarket and 32¢ on Kalshi, 4 points apart. Across the 60 contracts Kanon currently matches on both venues the median difference is 3.5 points. The two are matched outcome by outcome. These are mid prices rather than the price either book would actually fill at, and a difference is only a difference if both venues settle the question the same way. Polymarket prices 38 outcomes on this event. A is the shortest at 50¢, 0 points clear of B. The prices sum to 110¢, so the book carries about 10.4 points of operator margin; the fair column is those prices with that margin removed. $2.4m has traded on it.
| Runner | Market price |
|---|---|
| A | 50¢ |
| B | 50¢ |
| C | 50¢ |
| D | 50¢ |
| E | 50¢ |
| another team | 50¢ |
| Team Vitality | 28¢ |
| Team Falcons | 26¢ |
| Team Spirit | 15¢ |
| FURIA | 11¢ |
| MOUZ | 6¢ |
| Natus Vincere | 6¢ |
Showing the 12 most likely of 38 runners.
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