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The International 2026: Winner

POLYMARKET
40¢
KALSHI
43¢
DIFFERENCE
3 pts
VENUE
Polymarket

TEAM VISION is priced on both venues: 40¢ on Polymarket and 43¢ on Kalshi, 3 points apart. Across the 60 contracts Kanon currently matches on both venues the median difference is 3.5 points. The two are matched outcome by outcome. These are mid prices rather than the price either book would actually fill at, and a difference is only a difference if both venues settle the question the same way. Polymarket prices 20 outcomes on this event. A is the shortest at 50¢, 0 points clear of B. The prices sum to 106¢, so the book carries about 5.5 points of operator margin; the fair column is those prices with that margin removed. $1.5m has traded on it.

RunnerMarket price
A50¢
B50¢
C50¢
another team50¢
TEAM VISION40¢
Team Spirit12¢
Team Liquid11¢
Team Yandex10¢
Team Falcons10¢
1w Team
Nigma Galaxy
BoomBoys

Showing the 12 most likely of 20 runners.

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