Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?

USA is priced on both venues: 7¢ on Polymarket and 2¢ on Kalshi, 5 points apart. Across the 60 contracts Kanon currently matches on both venues the median difference is 3.1 points. The two are matched outcome by outcome. These are mid prices rather than the price either book would actually fill at, and a difference is only a difference if both venues settle the question the same way. Polymarket prices 11 outcomes on this event. Belgium is the shortest at 18¢, 4 points clear of The Netherlands.

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