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Kanon · Markets · Politics

Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?

POLYMARKET
32¢
KALSHI
26¢
DIFFERENCE
6 pts
VENUE
Polymarket

Click Bishop is priced on both venues: 32¢ on Polymarket and 26¢ on Kalshi, 6 points apart. Across the 60 contracts Kanon currently matches on both venues the median difference is 3.0 points. The two are matched outcome by outcome. These are mid prices rather than the price either book would actually fill at, and a difference is only a difference if both venues settle the question the same way. Polymarket prices 20 outcomes on this event. Tom Begich is the shortest at 100¢, 6 points clear of Bernadette Wilson.

RunnerMarket price
Tom Begich100¢
Bernadette Wilson94¢
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins82¢
Dave Bronson59¢
Click Bishop32¢
Lesil McGuire29¢
Treg Taylor29¢
Bill Walker22¢
Adam Crum
Matt Heilala
Edna DeVries
Bruce Walden

Showing the 12 most likely of 20 runners.

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