WHAT THE ODDS SHOULD BE.
BTC between 77,000-77,500
Kalshi prices this contract at 8¢, which is the market's own read on how likely it is to resolve Yes. Stripping the operator's margin out of the book puts the fair value at 5%. Trading closes 6 November 2026, 6 days from now. $2k has traded on it.
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OTHER CRYPTO MARKETS WE PRICE
- ETH between 2,240-2,280
- BTC between 77,250-77,500
- BTC between 76,500-77,000
- ETH between 2,200-2,240
- ETH between 2,200-2,240
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