WHAT THE ODDS SHOULD BE.
BTC between 82,500-83,000
Kalshi prices this contract at 13¢, which is the market's own read on how likely it is to resolve Yes. Stripping the operator's margin out of the book puts the fair value at 10%. Trading closes 9 October 2026, 1 days from now. $9k has traded on it.
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OTHER CRYPTO MARKETS WE PRICE
- BTC between 81,000-81,500
- BTC between 81,500-82,000
- ETH between 2,670-2,710
- ETH between 2,630-2,670
- ETH between 2,470-2,510
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