WHAT THE ODDS SHOULD BE.
BTC between 79,500-80,000
Kalshi prices this contract at 8¢, which is the market's own read on how likely it is to resolve Yes. Stripping the operator's margin out of the book puts the fair value at 15%. Trading closes 11 September 2026, 3 days from now. $11k has traded on it.
Open the live terminal →View on Kalshi →
OTHER CRYPTO MARKETS WE PRICE
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 12?
- BTC between 81,000-81,500
- BTC between 80,500-81,000
- ETH between 2,420-2,460
- ETH between 2,500-2,540
- ETH between 2,410-2,450
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Ethereum price at the end of 2026
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
- Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2027?