S&P 500 between 7,000-7,200

MARKET PRICE

6¢

FAIR VALUE (DE-VIG)

12%

VENUE

Kalshi

SETTLES

31 December 2026

Kalshi prices this contract at 6¢, which is the market's own read on how likely it is to resolve Yes. Stripping the operator's margin out of the book puts the fair value at 12%. Trading closes 31 December 2026, 123 days from now. $253k has traded on it.

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Kanon publishes general, impersonal market analytics — not advice, not a recommendation to enter any position. Prediction markets involve real risk of loss. 18+.
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