S&P 500 between 7,400-7,600

MARKET PRICE

7¢

FAIR VALUE (DE-VIG)

20%

VENUE

Kalshi

SETTLES

31 December 2026

Kalshi prices this contract at 7¢, which is the market's own read on how likely it is to resolve Yes. Stripping the operator's margin out of the book puts the fair value at 20%. Trading closes 31 December 2026, 137 days from now. $405k has traded on it.

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