Nasdaq 100 between 29,500-30,000

MARKET PRICE

6¢

FAIR VALUE (DE-VIG)

10%

VENUE

Kalshi

SETTLES

31 December 2026

Kalshi prices this contract at 6¢, which is the market's own read on how likely it is to resolve Yes. Stripping the operator's margin out of the book puts the fair value at 10%. Trading closes 31 December 2026, 120 days from now. $105k has traded on it.

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