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the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 12% and 14%
Polymarket prices 14 outcomes on this event. the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 12% and 14% is the shortest at 65¢, 19 points clear of any other outcome occur in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections. The prices sum to 140¢, so the book carries about 40.3 points of operator margin; the fair column is those prices with that margin removed. $310k has traded on it.
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| Runner | Market | Fair (de-vig) |
|---|---|---|
| the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 12% and 14% | 65¢ | 52% |
| any other outcome occur in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections | 46¢ | 34% |
| the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 14% and 16% | 19¢ | 12% |
| the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by 16% or more | 5¢ | 1% |
| the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 10% and 12% | 5¢ | 1% |
| the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 4% and 6% | 0¢ | 0% |
| the Republican Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 2% and 4% | 0¢ | 0% |
| the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 0% and 2% | 0¢ | 0% |
| the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 2% and 4% | 0¢ | 0% |
| the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 8% and 10% | 0¢ | 0% |
| the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 6% and 8% | 0¢ | 0% |
| the Republican Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 0% and 2% | 0¢ | 0% |
Showing the 12 most likely of 14 runners.