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no change in Fed interest rates
Polymarket prices 5 outcomes on this event. no change in Fed interest rates is the shortest at 84¢, 68 points clear of the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps. The prices sum to 101¢, so the book carries about 0.9 points of operator margin; the fair column is those prices with that margin removed. Trading closes 29 October 2026, 20 days from now. $30.6m has traded on it.
| Runner | Market price |
|---|---|
| no change in Fed interest rates | 84¢ |
| the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps | 16¢ |
| the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps | 0¢ |
| the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps | 0¢ |
| the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps | 0¢ |
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