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no change in Fed interest rates
Polymarket prices 5 outcomes on this event. no change in Fed interest rates is the shortest at 72¢, 48 points clear of the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps. The prices sum to 102¢, so the book carries about 2.1 points of operator margin; the fair column is those prices with that margin removed. Trading closes 28 October 2026, 73 days from now. $652k has traded on it.
| Runner | Market price |
|---|---|
| no change in Fed interest rates | 72¢ |
| the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps | 24¢ |
| the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps | 5¢ |
| the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps | 2¢ |
| the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps | 1¢ |
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