WHAT THE ODDS SHOULD BE.

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

MARKET PRICE

14¢

VENUE

Polymarket

SETTLES

1 January 2027

Polymarket prices this contract at 14¢, which is the market's own read on how likely it is to resolve Yes. Trading closes 1 January 2027, 114 days from now. $969k has traded on it.

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