Tampa Bay is priced on both venues: 24¢ on Polymarket and 23¢ on Kalshi, 1 point apart. Across the 60 contracts Kanon currently matches on both venues the median difference is 2.0 points. The two are matched outcome by outcome. These are mid prices rather than the price either book would actually fill at, and a difference is only a difference if both venues settle the question the same way. Polymarket prices 30 outcomes on this event. Los Angeles Dodgers is the shortest at 44¢, 20 points clear of Tampa Bay Rays. The prices sum to 101¢, so the book carries about 0.9 points of operator margin; the fair column is those prices with that margin removed. Trading closes 31 October 2026, 23 days from now. $43.8m has traded on it.
| Runner | Market price |
|---|---|
| Los Angeles Dodgers | 44¢ |
| Tampa Bay Rays | 24¢ |
| Milwaukee Brewers | 23¢ |
| Chicago White Sox | 7¢ |
| Cleveland Guardians | 3¢ |
| Washington Nationals | 0¢ |
| Boston Red Sox | 0¢ |
| St. Louis Cardinals | 0¢ |
| Colorado Rockies | 0¢ |
| Miami Marlins | 0¢ |
| Baltimore Orioles | 0¢ |
| Houston Astros | 0¢ |
Showing the 12 most likely of 30 runners.
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