POLYMARKET
4¢
Houston is priced on both venues: 4¢ on Polymarket and 3¢ on Kalshi, 1 point apart. Across the 60 contracts Kanon currently matches on both venues the median difference is 2.0 points. The two are matched outcome by outcome. These are mid prices rather than the price either book would actually fill at, and a difference is only a difference if both venues settle the question the same way. Polymarket prices 30 outcomes on this event. Vancouver Whitecaps FC is the shortest at 23¢, 5 points clear of Nashville SC. The prices sum to 104¢, so the book carries about 3.9 points of operator margin; the fair column is those prices with that margin removed. Trading closes 1 January 2027, 84 days from now. $21.9m has traded on it.
| Runner | Market price |
|---|---|
| Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 23¢ |
| Nashville SC | 18¢ |
| Inter Miami CF | 15¢ |
| Los Angeles FC | 6¢ |
| St. Louis City SC | 6¢ |
| FC Dallas | 5¢ |
| Chicago Fire FC | 5¢ |
| Houston Dynamo FC | 4¢ |
| Philadelphia Union | 4¢ |
| New England Revolution | 4¢ |
| Charlotte FC | 3¢ |
| San Jose Earthquakes | 2¢ |
Showing the 12 most likely of 30 runners.
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