POLYMARKET
22¢
Darian Mensah is priced on both venues: 22¢ on Polymarket and 24¢ on Kalshi, 2 points apart. Across the 60 contracts Kanon currently matches on both venues the median difference is 1.8 points. The two are matched outcome by outcome. These are mid prices rather than the price either book would actually fill at, and a difference is only a difference if both venues settle the question the same way. Polymarket prices 60 outcomes on this event. P4 is the shortest at 50¢, 0 points clear of P5. The prices sum to 117¢, so the book carries about 17 points of operator margin; the fair column is those prices with that margin removed. Trading closes 27 December 2026, 57 days from now. $315k has traded on it.
| Runner | Market price |
|---|---|
| P4 | 50¢ |
| P5 | 50¢ |
| P6 | 50¢ |
| P7 | 50¢ |
| P8 | 50¢ |
| P9 | 50¢ |
| P10 | 50¢ |
| P11 | 50¢ |
| P12 | 50¢ |
| P13 | 50¢ |
| P14 | 50¢ |
| P15 | 50¢ |
Showing the 12 most likely of 60 runners.
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