POLYMARKET
10¢
Drake is priced on both venues: 10¢ on Polymarket and 15¢ on Kalshi, 5 points apart. Across the 60 contracts Kanon currently matches on both venues the median difference is 3.5 points. The two are matched outcome by outcome. These are mid prices rather than the price either book would actually fill at, and a difference is only a difference if both venues settle the question the same way. Polymarket prices 10 outcomes on this event. Bad Bunny is the shortest at 78¢, 68 points clear of Drake. The prices sum to 102¢, so the book carries about 2.2 points of operator margin; the fair column is those prices with that margin removed. Trading closes 31 December 2026, 136 days from now. $1.5m has traded on it.
| Runner | Market price |
|---|---|
| Bad Bunny | 78¢ |
| Drake | 10¢ |
| Taylor Swift | 9¢ |
| Bruno Mars | 4¢ |
| The Weeknd | 0¢ |
| Beyoncé | 0¢ |
| Kendrick Lamar | 0¢ |
| Sabrina Carpenter | 0¢ |
| Chappell Roan | 0¢ |
| Morgan Wallen | 0¢ |
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