POLYMARKET
74¢
Anthropic is priced on both venues: 74¢ on Polymarket and 67¢ on Kalshi, 7 points apart. Across the 60 contracts Kanon currently matches on both venues the median difference is 1.9 points. The two are matched outcome by outcome. These are mid prices rather than the price either book would actually fill at, and a difference is only a difference if both venues settle the question the same way. Polymarket prices 32 outcomes on this event. Anthropic is the shortest at 74¢, 24 points clear of Company A. The prices sum to 103¢, so the book carries about 2.6 points of operator margin; the fair column is those prices with that margin removed. Trading closes 1 November 2026, 53 days from now. $226k has traded on it.
| Runner | Market price |
|---|---|
| Anthropic | 74¢ |
| Company A | 50¢ |
| Company B | 50¢ |
| Company C | 50¢ |
| Company D | 50¢ |
| Company E | 50¢ |
| Company F | 50¢ |
| Company G | 50¢ |
| Company H | 50¢ |
| Company I | 50¢ |
| Company K | 50¢ |
| any other company | 50¢ |
Showing the 12 most likely of 32 runners.
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