POLYMARKET
2¢
Song Yadong is priced on both venues: 2¢ on Polymarket and 1¢ on Kalshi, 1 point apart. Across the 60 contracts Kanon currently matches on both venues the median difference is 2.0 points. The two are matched outcome by outcome. These are mid prices rather than the price either book would actually fill at, and a difference is only a difference if both venues settle the question the same way. Polymarket prices 11 outcomes on this event. Petr Yan is the shortest at 61¢, 25 points clear of Merab Dvalishvili. The prices sum to 100¢, so the book carries about 0.2 points of operator margin; the fair column is those prices with that margin removed. Trading closes 1 January 2027, 84 days from now. $464k has traded on it.
| Runner | Market price |
|---|---|
| Petr Yan | 61¢ |
| Merab Dvalishvili | 36¢ |
| Song Yadong | 2¢ |
| Sean O'Malley | 1¢ |
| David Martinez | 0¢ |
| Aiemann Zahabi | 0¢ |
| Marlon Vera | 0¢ |
| Deiveson Figueiredo | 0¢ |
| Mario Bautista | 0¢ |
| Umar Nurmagomedov | 0¢ |
| Cory Sandhagen | 0¢ |
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