WHAT THE ODDS SHOULD BE.

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

MARKET PRICE

4¢

VENUE

Polymarket

SETTLES

31 December 2026

Polymarket prices this contract at 4¢, which is the market's own read on how likely it is to resolve Yes. Trading closes 31 December 2026, 136 days from now. $39.8m has traded on it.

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