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Kanon · Markets · Geopolitics

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

POLYMARKET
KALSHI
15¢
DIFFERENCE
6 pts
VENUE
Polymarket
SETTLES
31 December 2026

Delcy Rodríguez is priced on both venues: 9¢ on Polymarket and 15¢ on Kalshi, 6 points apart. Across the 60 contracts Kanon currently matches on both venues the median difference is 3.5 points. The two are matched outcome by outcome. These are mid prices rather than the price either book would actually fill at, and a difference is only a difference if both venues settle the question the same way. Polymarket prices 16 outcomes on this event. Nicolás Maduro be the leader is the shortest at 82¢, 73 points clear of Delcy Rodríguez be the leader. Trading closes 31 December 2026, 136 days from now. $95.6m has traded on it.

RunnerMarket price
Nicolás Maduro be the leader82¢
Delcy Rodríguez be the leader
María Corina Machado be the leader
no head of state
Edmundo González be the leader
Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader
Jorge Rodríguez be the leader
Vladimir Padrino López be the leader
Frank Donovan be the leader
Pete Hegseth be the leader
Evan Pettus be the leader
Dinorah Figuera be the leader

Showing the 12 most likely of 16 runners.

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