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Hike 1-25bps
Kalshi prices 5 outcomes on this event. Hike 1-25bps is the shortest at 88¢, 73 points clear of Maintain current rate. The prices sum to 111¢, so the book carries about 11 points of operator margin; the fair column is those prices with that margin removed. Trading closes 10 September 2026, 25 days from now. $5k has traded on it.
| Runner | Market price |
|---|---|
| Hike 1-25bps | 88¢ |
| Maintain current rate | 15¢ |
| Hike more than 25bps | 5¢ |
| Cut more than 25bps | 2¢ |
| Cut 1-25bps | 1¢ |
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