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4.2%
Kalshi prices 7 outcomes on this event. 4.2% is the shortest at 30¢, 2 points clear of 4.1%. The prices sum to 117¢, so the book carries about 17 points of operator margin; the fair column is those prices with that margin removed. Trading closes 4 September 2026, 19 days from now. $3k has traded on it.
| Runner | Market price |
|---|---|
| 4.2% | 30¢ |
| 4.1% | 28¢ |
| 4.3% | 24¢ |
| 4.0% | 11¢ |
| 3.9% | 3¢ |
| 4.4% | 2¢ |
| 3.3% | 2¢ |
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