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Hike 25bps
Kalshi prices 5 outcomes on this event. Hike 25bps is the shortest at 80¢, 61 points clear of Maintain current rate. The prices sum to 105¢, so the book carries about 5 points of operator margin; the fair column is those prices with that margin removed. Trading closes 18 September 2026, 32 days from now. $25k has traded on it.
| Runner | Market price |
|---|---|
| Hike 25bps | 80¢ |
| Maintain current rate | 19¢ |
| Hike more than 25bps | 3¢ |
| Cut more than 25bps | 2¢ |
| Cut 25bps | 1¢ |
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