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Hike 1-25bps
Kalshi prices 5 outcomes on this event. Hike 1-25bps is the shortest at 85¢, 76 points clear of Maintain current rate. The prices sum to 103¢, so the book carries about 3 points of operator margin; the fair column is those prices with that margin removed. Trading closes 2 September 2026, 16 days from now. $9k has traded on it.
| Runner | Market price |
|---|---|
| Hike 1-25bps | 85¢ |
| Maintain current rate | 9¢ |
| Cut more than 25bps | 4¢ |
| Hike more than 25bps | 3¢ |
| Cut 1-25bps | 2¢ |
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