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Anthropic
Kalshi prices 9 outcomes on this event. Anthropic is the shortest at 60¢, 32 points clear of OpenAI. The prices sum to 108¢, so the book carries about 8 points of operator margin; the fair column is those prices with that margin removed. Trading closes 31 December 2026, 137 days from now. $217k has traded on it.
| Runner | Market price |
|---|---|
| Anthropic | 60¢ |
| OpenAI | 28¢ |
| xAI | 14¢ |
| 1¢ | |
| Moonshot AI | 1¢ |
| DeepSeek | 1¢ |
| Z.ai | 1¢ |
| Alibaba | 1¢ |
| Baidu | 1¢ |
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