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Claude
Kalshi prices 8 outcomes on this event. Claude is the shortest at 72¢, 60 points clear of Grok. The prices sum to 104¢, so the book carries about 4.4 points of operator margin; the fair column is those prices with that margin removed. Trading closes 31 December 2026, 137 days from now. $1.8m has traded on it.
| Runner | Market price |
|---|---|
| Claude | 72¢ |
| Grok | 12¢ |
| ChatGPT | 11¢ |
| Gemini | 7¢ |
| Muse Spark | 2¢ |
| Qwen | 1¢ |
| Kimi | 1¢ |
| Ernie | 0¢ |
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