WHAT THE ODDS SHOULD BE.

Will the maximum temperature be 80-81° on Aug 24, 2026? — 80° to 81°

MARKET PRICE

41¢

VENUE

Kalshi

SETTLES

25 August 2026

Kalshi prices this contract at 41¢, which is the market's own read on how likely it is to resolve Yes. Trading closes 25 August 2026. $22k has traded on it.

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OTHER CLIMATE MARKETS WE PRICE

Los Angeles daily high 86° to 87°
Japan earthquake M8+ Before 2030
Los Angeles daily high 82° to 83°
Los Angeles daily high 84° to 85°
California earthquake M8+ Before 2035
NYC daily high 78° to 79°
At least 3 VEI4 eruptions worldwide in 2026
Philadelphia daily high 82° to 83°
NYC daily high 78° or below
Philadelphia daily high 82° to 83°

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