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Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in Japan before 2030?

MARKET PRICE
32¢
VENUE
Kalshi
SETTLES
1 January 2030

Kalshi prices this contract at 32¢, which is the market's own read on how likely it is to resolve Yes. Trading closes 1 January 2030, 1180 days from now. $45k has traded on it.

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