WHAT THE ODDS SHOULD BE.

Climate markets

Temperature, storms and the earth-science contracts. These resolve against a published official measurement rather than an editorial judgement. 22 live on the board right now.

Climate 22 Commodities 3 Crypto 53 Culture 24 Events 39 Finance 57 Geopolitics 45 Macro 16 Other 31 Politics 78 Sports 513 Stocks 6 Tech 4

At least 2 VEI4 eruptions worldwide in 2026Kalshi
California earthquake M8+ Before 2027Kalshi
California earthquake M8+ Before 2028Kalshi
California earthquake M8+ Before 2035Kalshi
Denver daily high 83° to 84°Kalshi
Denver daily high 85° to 86°Kalshi
Denver daily high 86° to 87°Kalshi
Highest temperature in Austin on Oct 8, 2026?Kalshi
Highest temperature in Chicago on Oct 8, 2026?Kalshi
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Oct 8, 2026?Kalshi
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Oct 9, 2026?Kalshi
Highest temperature in Miami on Oct 8, 2026?Kalshi
Highest temperature in New York City on Oct 8, 2026?Kalshi
Japan earthquake M8+ Before 2030Kalshi
NYC daily high 69° to 70°Kalshi
NYC daily high 71° to 72°Kalshi
NYC daily high 73° to 74°Kalshi
What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030?Kalshi
What will the peak RONI value be during the 2026-27 El Niño season?Kalshi
What will the peak RONI value be for the NDJ 2026-27 quarter?Kalshi
What will the peak RONI value for El Niño be during the NDJ 2026-27 season?Kalshi
World passes +2°C over pre-industrial before 2050Kalshi

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