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the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vote be between 8 and 10%? — Democrats, 8 to 10%
Kalshi prices 10 outcomes on this event. the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vote be between 8 and 10%? — Democrats, 8 to 10% is the shortest at 28¢, 8 points clear of the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vote be between 10 and 12%? — Democrats, 10 to 12%. The prices sum to 108¢, so the book carries about 7.7 points of operator margin; the fair column is those prices with that margin removed. Trading closes 3 November 2027, 391 days from now. $204k has traded on it.
| Runner | Market price |
|---|---|
| the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vote be between 8 and 10%? — Democrats, 8 to 10% | 28¢ |
| the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vote be between 10 and 12%? — Democrats, 10 to 12% | 20¢ |
| the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vote be between 6 and 8%? — Democrats, 6 to 8% | 19¢ |
| the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vote be between 4 and 6%? — Democrats, 4 to 6% | 10¢ |
| the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vote be between 12 and 14%? — Democrats, 12 to 14% | 9¢ |
| Republicans win the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vote | 6¢ |
| the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vote be between 2 and 4%? — Democrats, 2 to 4% | 5¢ |
| the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vote be between 0 and 2%? — Democrats, 0 to 2% | 4¢ |
| the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vote be between 14 and 16%? — Democrats, 14 to 16% | 3¢ |
| the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vote be between 16 and 100%? — Democrats, 16% and above | 2¢ |
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