Nasdaq 100 between 27,500-28,000

MARKET PRICE

6¢

FAIR VALUE (DE-VIG)

14%

VENUE

Kalshi

SETTLES

31 December 2026

Kalshi prices this contract at 6¢, which is the market's own read on how likely it is to resolve Yes. Stripping the operator's margin out of the book puts the fair value at 14%. Trading closes 31 December 2026, 57 days from now. $126k has traded on it.

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OTHER STOCKS MARKETS WE PRICE

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Nasdaq 100 between 28,500-29,000
Nasdaq 100 between 28,000-28,500
Dow Jones above 55,000
Dow Jones above 56,000
Dow Jones above 57,000

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