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Labour win the next U.K. election? — Labour party
Kalshi prices 8 outcomes on this event. Labour win the next U.K. election? — Labour party is the shortest at 37¢, 2 points clear of Reform win the next U.K. election? — Reform party. The prices sum to 104¢, so the book carries about 3.8 points of operator margin; the fair column is those prices with that margin removed. Trading closes 31 August 2029, 1058 days from now. $44k has traded on it.
| Runner | Market price |
|---|---|
| Labour win the next U.K. election? — Labour party | 37¢ |
| Reform win the next U.K. election? — Reform party | 35¢ |
| Conservative win the next U.K. election? — Conservative party | 25¢ |
| Green win the next U.K. election? — Green party | 3¢ |
| Restore Britain win the next U.K. election? — Restore Britain party | 2¢ |
| Liberal Democratic win the next U.K. election? — Liberal Democratic party | 2¢ |
| Your Party win the next U.K. election | 0¢ |
| Bruv win the next U.K. election? — Bruv party | 0¢ |
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