POLYMARKET
50¢
Javier Milei is priced on both venues: 50¢ on Polymarket and 63¢ on Kalshi, 13 points apart. Across the 60 contracts Kanon currently matches on both venues the median difference is 3.5 points. The two are matched outcome by outcome. These are mid prices rather than the price either book would actually fill at, and a difference is only a difference if both venues settle the question the same way. Polymarket prices 11 outcomes on this event. Javier Milei is the shortest at 50¢, 10 points clear of Axel Kicillof. The prices sum to 101¢, so the book carries about 0.8 points of operator margin; the fair column is those prices with that margin removed. Trading closes 24 October 2027, 433 days from now. $526k has traded on it.
| Runner | Market price |
|---|---|
| Javier Milei | 50¢ |
| Axel Kicillof | 40¢ |
| Sergio Massa | 5¢ |
| Myriam Bregman | 2¢ |
| Juan Grabois | 1¢ |
| Dante Gebel | 1¢ |
| Victoria Villarruel | 0¢ |
| Mauricio Macri | 0¢ |
| Juan Schiaretti | 0¢ |
| Esteban Bullrich | 0¢ |
| Facundo Manes | 0¢ |
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