✷ KANON
WHAT THE ODDS SHOULD BE.
Kanon · Markets · Politics

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

POLYMARKET
21¢
KALSHI
17¢
DIFFERENCE
4 pts
VENUE
Polymarket
SETTLES
7 November 2028

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is priced on both venues: 21¢ on Polymarket and 17¢ on Kalshi, 4 points apart. Across the 60 contracts Kanon currently matches on both venues the median difference is 3.5 points. The two are matched outcome by outcome. These are mid prices rather than the price either book would actually fill at, and a difference is only a difference if both venues settle the question the same way. Polymarket prices 51 outcomes on this event. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is the shortest at 21¢, 4 points clear of Gavin Newsom. Trading closes 7 November 2028, 813 days from now. $1258.8m has traded on it.

RunnerMarket price
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez21¢
Gavin Newsom17¢
Jon Ossoff15¢
Kamala Harris
Pete Buttigieg
Josh Shapiro
Mark Kelly
Rahm Emanuel
Andy Beshear
Ro Khanna
James Talarico
Wes Moore

Showing the 12 most likely of 51 runners.

Open the live terminal →Global — reference only · blocked to U.S. persons

SHAREXRedditWhatsAppTelegram

OTHER POLITICS MARKETS WE PRICE

Every market we price → · How we are paid · Privacy · Contact

Kanon publishes general, impersonal market analytics — not advice, not a recommendation to enter any position. Prediction markets involve real risk of loss. 18+.
kanonterminal.io