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45%
Polymarket prices 5 outcomes on this event. 45% is the shortest at 76¢, 26 points clear of 50%. Trading closes 1 January 2027, 114 days from now. $10k has traded on it.
| Runner | Market price |
|---|---|
| 45% | 76¢ |
| 50% | 50¢ |
| 55% | 32¢ |
| 60% | 13¢ |
| 65% | 8¢ |
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