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How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

FAVOURITE
8 countries
PRICED AT
58¢
RUNNERS
16
VENUE
Polymarket
SETTLES
1 January 2027

Polymarket prices 16 outcomes on this event. 8 countries is the shortest at 58¢, 26 points clear of 9 countries. The prices sum to 102¢, so the book carries about 2.4 points of operator margin; the fair column is those prices with that margin removed. Trading closes 1 January 2027, 84 days from now. $1.7m has traded on it.

RunnerMarket price
8 countries58¢
9 countries32¢
10 countries9¢
11 countries1¢
12 countries1¢
13 countries0¢
15 or more countries0¢
14 countries0¢
6 countries0¢
7 countries0¢
1 country0¢
3 countries0¢

Showing the 12 most likely of 16 runners.

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