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exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption
Polymarket prices 6 outcomes on this event. exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption is the shortest at 42¢, 14 points clear of exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions. Trading closes 1 April 2027, 174 days from now. $1.2m has traded on it.
| Runner | Market price |
|---|---|
| exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption | 42¢ |
| exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions | 28¢ |
| exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions | 9¢ |
| exactly 3 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions | 2¢ |
| 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions | 1¢ |
| exactly 4 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions | 0¢ |
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