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How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

FAVOURITE
5-6
PRICED AT
56¢
RUNNERS
8
VENUE
Polymarket
SETTLES
31 December 2026

Polymarket prices 8 outcomes on this event. 5-6 is the shortest at 56¢, 22 points clear of less than 5. The prices sum to 104¢, so the book carries about 4.5 points of operator margin; the fair column is those prices with that margin removed. Trading closes 31 December 2026, 136 days from now. $493k has traded on it.

RunnerMarket price
5-656¢
less than 534¢
7-8
9-10
11-12
more than 16
15-16
13-14

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