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How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

FAVOURITE
5-6
PRICED AT
53¢
RUNNERS
8
VENUE
Polymarket
SETTLES
1 January 2027

Polymarket prices 8 outcomes on this event. 5-6 is the shortest at 53¢, 6 points clear of less than 5. The prices sum to 102¢, so the book carries about 2.4 points of operator margin; the fair column is those prices with that margin removed. Trading closes 1 January 2027, 84 days from now. $521k has traded on it.

RunnerMarket price
5-653¢
less than 547¢
7-81¢
9-100¢
more than 160¢
11-120¢
15-160¢
13-140¢

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