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SpaceX
Polymarket prices 13 outcomes on this event. SpaceX is the shortest at 64¢, 28 points clear of Anthropic. The prices sum to 126¢, so the book carries about 26.2 points of operator margin; the fair column is those prices with that margin removed. Trading closes 31 December 2026, 136 days from now. $5.4m has traded on it.
| Runner | Market price |
|---|---|
| SpaceX | 64¢ |
| Anthropic | 36¢ |
| xAI | 26¢ |
| OpenAI | 0¢ |
| Kraken | 0¢ |
| Revolut | 0¢ |
| Databricks | 0¢ |
| SHEIN | 0¢ |
| Waymo | 0¢ |
| ByteDance | 0¢ |
| Discord | 0¢ |
| Stripe | 0¢ |
Showing the 12 most likely of 13 runners.
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