POLYMARKET
32¢
Marine Le Pen is priced on both venues: 32¢ on Polymarket and 39¢ on Kalshi, 7 points apart. Across the 60 contracts Kanon currently matches on both venues the median difference is 3.5 points. The two are matched outcome by outcome. These are mid prices rather than the price either book would actually fill at, and a difference is only a difference if both venues settle the question the same way. Polymarket prices 41 outcomes on this event. Marine Le Pen is the shortest at 32¢, 6 points clear of Édouard Philippe. Trading closes 30 April 2027, 256 days from now. $119.4m has traded on it.
| Runner | Market price |
|---|---|
| Marine Le Pen | 32¢ |
| Édouard Philippe | 26¢ |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 14¢ |
| Gabriel Attal | 4¢ |
| François Hollande | 4¢ |
| Jordan Bardella | 3¢ |
| David Lisnard | 3¢ |
| Bruno Retailleau | 2¢ |
| Sarah Knafo | 2¢ |
| Dominique de Villepin | 2¢ |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 2¢ |
| Sébastien Lecornu | 1¢ |
Showing the 12 most likely of 41 runners.
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