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Rafael Grossi
Polymarket prices 10 outcomes on this event. Rafael Grossi is the shortest at 22¢, 0 points clear of Lana Nusseibeh. The prices sum to 104¢, so the book carries about 4.3 points of operator margin; the fair column is those prices with that margin removed. Trading closes 1 July 2027, 239 days from now. $259k has traded on it.
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| Runner | Market | Fair (de-vig) |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Grossi | 22¢ | 22% |
| Lana Nusseibeh | 22¢ | 21% |
| Rebeca Grynspan | 21¢ | 20% |
| Olara Otunnu | 19¢ | 19% |
| María Fernanda Espinosa | 7¢ | 6% |
| Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett | 5¢ | 5% |
| Michelle Bachelet | 5¢ | 4% |
| Viktor Orbán | 2¢ | 2% |
| Macky Sall | 1¢ | 1% |
| Ivonne de Baki | 0¢ | 0% |