✷ KANON
WHAT THE ODDS SHOULD BE.
Kanon · Markets · Politics

Presidential Election Winner 2028

POLYMARKET
13¢
KALSHI
10¢
DIFFERENCE
3 pts
VENUE
Polymarket
SETTLES
8 November 2028

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is priced on both venues: 13¢ on Polymarket and 10¢ on Kalshi, 3 points apart. Across the 60 contracts Kanon currently matches on both venues the median difference is 2.0 points. The two are matched outcome by outcome. These are mid prices rather than the price either book would actually fill at, and a difference is only a difference if both venues settle the question the same way. Polymarket prices 54 outcomes on this event. JD Vance is the shortest at 20¢, 7 points clear of Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez. Trading closes 8 November 2028, 761 days from now. $714.5m has traded on it.

RunnerMarket price
JD Vance20¢
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13¢
Jon Ossoff10¢
Gavin Newsom8¢
Marco Rubio7¢
Kamala Harris5¢
Josh Shapiro3¢
Pete Buttigieg3¢
Ron DeSantis2¢
James Talarico2¢
Tucker Carlson2¢
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson2¢

Showing the 12 most likely of 54 runners.

Open the live terminal →View on Polymarket US →

Price above is Polymarket Global's — Polymarket US is a separate, CFTC-regulated exchange and quotes this contract on its own book.
SHAREXRedditWhatsAppTelegram

OTHER POLITICS MARKETS WE PRICE

Every market we price → · How we are paid · Accuracy · Privacy · Contact · Terms · Refunds

Kanon publishes general, impersonal market analytics — not advice, not a recommendation to enter any position. Prediction markets involve real risk of loss. 18+.
Poe Analytics LLC · 30 N Gould St Ste R, Sheridan, WY 82801 · support@kanonterminal.io
kanonterminal.io