POLYMARKET
49¢
J.D. Vance is priced on both venues: 49¢ on Polymarket and 43¢ on Kalshi, 6 points apart. Across the 60 contracts Kanon currently matches on both venues the median difference is 2.0 points. The two are matched outcome by outcome. These are mid prices rather than the price either book would actually fill at, and a difference is only a difference if both venues settle the question the same way. Polymarket prices 44 outcomes on this event. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. is the shortest at 49¢, 0 points clear of J.D. Vance. Trading closes 8 November 2028, 761 days from now. $710.3m has traded on it.
| Runner | Market price |
|---|---|
| Robert F. Kennedy Jr. | 49¢ |
| J.D. Vance | 49¢ |
| Marco Rubio | 15¢ |
| Tucker Carlson | 3¢ |
| Ron DeSantis | 3¢ |
| Ted Cruz | 2¢ |
| Donald Trump | 2¢ |
| Donald Trump Jr. | 2¢ |
| Ivanka Trump | 1¢ |
| Thomas Massie | 1¢ |
| Tulsi Gabbard | 0¢ |
| Tom Cotton | 0¢ |
Showing the 12 most likely of 44 runners.
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